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The ABC News/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index is at +31, up a point from last week.
Pointing the Finger on Oil
Consumer Comfort Index Up 1 Point This Week


ABCNEWS.com

N E W   Y O R K,  Oct. 19— Overseas oil producers bear an ample chunk of the blame for higher oil and gasoline prices, but there’s plenty more to go around.


    More than one-third of Americans think oil producing countries other than the United States are responsible for the rise in prices. But another quarter blame the Clinton administration, and about two in 10 fault domestic oil companies, according to the latest ABCNEWS/Money magazine poll.
     Not surprisingly, Republicans are more likely than Democrats or independents to blame the administration, while Democrats are more apt to fault overseas oil producers.
    

Who Is Responsible for High Fuel Prices?
Overseas producersDomestic industry President Clinton
Democrats 47% 28% 12%
Republicans 27 12 43
Independents 26 34 24

     Last month, President Clinton announced the release of 30 million barrels of oil from the country’s emergency stockpile, a move designed to help lower prices.
     Separately, consumer confidence remains strong. Seventy-seven percent of Americans say the economy is in good shape, 69 percent rate their personal finances positively and 51 percent call it a good time to buy things, well above historic averages for each indicator.
    

Consumer Confidence Since Dec. 1985:
  Today Highest Lowest Average
National
Economy
77% 80%  7% 41%
Personal
Finances
69% 70% 42% 57%
Buying Climate 51% 57% 20% 38%

     INDEX — The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index, based on these ratings, stands at +31 on its scale of +100 to -100, up 1 point from last week. The index has averaged +29 this year, a point above its record 1999 average. Its lifetime average is -10, depressed by recession in the early 1990s.
    

ABCNEWS/Money Index
Today +31
Last week +30
Jan. 16, 2000 +38  Record high
2000 average +29
1999 average +28  Best full year
1992 average - 44  Worst full year
Feb. 9, 1992 - 50  Record low
Average since 12/85 -10

A Closer Look
As usual, confidence is higher among better-off Americans: The index is +56 in higher-income households compared to -19 in the lowest; +52 among college graduates but -6 among high-school dropouts; +35 among whites but +5 among blacks; +38 among men but +25 among women.
     Here’s a closer look at the three components of the ABC/Money index:
     NATIONAL ECONOMY — The poll asks: Would you describe the state of the nation’s economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? Seventy-eight percent of Americans rate the nation’s economy as excellent or good, up two points from last week. The best was 80 percent on Jan. 16. The worst was 7 percent in late 1991 and early 1992.
     PERSONAL FINANCES — The poll asks: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? Sixty-nine percent rate their own finances as excellent or good, up 2 points from last week. The best was 70 percent, set Aug. 30, 1998 and last matched in January. The worst was 42 percent on March 14, 1993.
     BUYING CLIMATE — The poll asks: Considering the cost of things today and your own personal finances, would you say now is an excellent time, a good time, a not-so-good time or a poor time to buy the things you want and need? Fifty-one percent say it’s an excellent or good time to buy things they want and need, the same as last week. The best was 57 percent Jan. 16. The worst was 20 percent in fall 1990.

Methodology
The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index represents a rolling average based on telephone interviews with about 1,000 adults nationwide each month. This week’s results are based on 1,035 interviews in the week ending Oct. 15 and have an error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Field work was conducted by International Communications Research of Media, Pa.
     The ABC/Money index is derived as follows: The negative response to each index question is subtracted from the positive response to that question. The three resulting numbers are then added and divided by 3. The index can range from +100 (everyone positive on all three measures) to -100 (all negative on all three measures). The survey began in December 1985.

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