May 30, 2001
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Consumer Confidence
The Consumer Comfort Index,stands at +1 on its scale of +100 to -100, unchanged from last week. Two weeks ago it was at +3. (ABCNEWS.com)
Confidence Steadies
But Consumer Sentiment Well Off Year’s High

 
ABCNEWS.com

N E W   Y O R K, May 31 — Consumer confidence held steady this week, remaining at its four-year low.


Fifty-one percent of Americans rate the national economy positively, down 20 points since the start of the year. Sixty percent say their own finances are in good shape, down six points just since April. And 41 percent call it a good time to buy things, down seven points since February.


Ratings of the Economy:
  5/27/01 1/7/01   Highest Average
National Economy 51% 71%   80% 41%
Buying Climate 41% 47%   57% 38%
Personal Finances 60% 66%   70% 57%

The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index, based on these views, stands at +1 on its scale of +100 to -100, unchanged from last week. But that's down sharply from +23 at the start of the year and +38, the record high, in January 2000. Still, it's far better than the -27 recorded at the start of the last recession, in July 1990.

The index declined seven points in one week in January (tying the one-week record), six points in one week in February, five points in one week in March and another five points in one week in April. That left the Consumer Comfort Index barely in positive territory. Nonetheless, all three gauges are above their 15-year averages.


ABCNEWS/Money Index
Today + 1
Last week + 1
Three months ago +13
Jan. 16, 2000 +38  Record high
2000 average +29  Best full year
1992 average - 44  Worst full year
Feb. 9, 1992 - 50  Record low
Average since 12/85 - 9

A Closer Look

As usual, confidence is higher among better-off Americans: The index is +23 in higher-income households compared to -44 in the lowest, +18 among college graduates while -38 among high-school dropouts, +4 among whites but -21 among blacks and +7 among men but -5 among women.

Here's a closer look at the three components of the ABCNEWS/Money index:

  NATIONAL ECONOMY — Fifty-one percent of Americans rate the nation's economy as excellent or good, down one point from last week. The best was 80 percent Jan. 16, 2000. The worst was 7 percent in late 1991 and early 1992.

  PERSONAL FINANCES — Sixty percent rate their own finances as excellent or good, the same as last week. The best was 70 percent, set Aug. 30, 1998 and last matched in January 2000. The worst rating was 42 percent on March 14, 1993.

  BUYING CLIMATE — Forty-one percent say it's an excellent or good time to buy things they want and need, up two points from last week. The best was 57 percent Jan. 16, 2000. The worst was 20 percent in fall 1990.

Methodology

The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index represents a rolling average based on telephone interviews with about 1,000 adults nationwide each month. This week's results are based on 1,030 interviews in the month ending May 27, and have an error margin of plus or minus three percentage points. Field work was conducted by ICR-International Communications Research of Media, Pa.

The ABCNEWS/Money index is derived as follows: The negative response to each index question is subtracted from the positive response to that question. The three resulting numbers are then added and divided by three. The index can range from +100 (everyone positive on all three measures) to -100 (all negative on all three measures). The survey began in December 1985.

Previous ABCNEWS polls can be found in our Poll Vault.


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