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27



This week’s consumer comfort level is +27, unchanged from a week ago. (ABCNEWS.com)
Consumer Comfort Stable
Consumer Confidence Unmoved by Markets


ABCNEWS.com

N E W   Y O R K,  May 4— Consumer confidence was unchanged this week, extending a lull that began in mid-March. While lower than the all-time high it reached in January, the level of consumer comfort has been remarkably stable during the recent stock market upheavals.
    

Today 73 percent of Americans say the economy is in good shape, 7 points below January’s record but nearly double the 14-year average. Sixty-six percent say their own finances are good and 52 percent say it’s a good time to buy things, both also strong.

Consumer Confidence Since December 1985
  Today Highest Lowest Average
National
Economy
73% 80% 7% 39%
Personal
Finances
66 70 42 56
Buying
Climate
52 57 20 38

     INDEX — The ABC/Money Consumer Comfort Index, based on these ratings, stands at +27 on its scale of +100 to -100. It has averaged +30 this year, 2 points above its record 1999 average. Its lifetime average, which was depressed in the early 1990s, is -11.
    

ABCNEWS/Money Index
Today +27
Last Week +27
Jan. 16, 2000 +38 (Record High)
2000 average +30
1999 average +28 (Best full year)
1992 average -44 (Worst full year)
Feb. 9, 1992 -50 (Record low)
Average since 12/85 -11


     GROUPS — As usual, confidence is higher among better-off Americans: The index is +59 in higher-income households, compared to -23 in the lowest income households. It is at +45 among college graduates but -8 among high-school dropouts. The index stands at +31 among whites but -1 among blacks, and it is +34 among men compared to +21 among women.
     Here’s a closer look at the three components of the ABC/Money index:
     NATIONAL ECONOMY — The poll asks: Would you describe the state of the nation’s economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? Seventy-three percent say excellent or good, the same as last week. The record, 80 percent, was set on Jan. 16. The worst rating was 7 percent in late 1991 and in early 1992.
     PERSONAL FINANCES — The poll asks: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? Sixty-six percent say excellent or good, the same as last week. The record, 70 percent, was originally set Aug. 30, 1998, and last matched in January. The worst was 42 percent, on March 14, 1993.
     BUYING CLIMATE — The poll asks: Considering the cost of things today and your own personal finances, would you say now is an excellent time, a good time, a not so good time or a poor time to buy the things you want and need? Fifty-two percent say excellent or good, unchanged from last week. The record, 57 percent, was set on Jan. 16, 2000. The worst rating, 20 percent, was set in fall 1990.

Methodology
The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index represents a rolling average based on telephone interviews with about 1,000 adults nationwide each month. This week’s results are based on 1,048 interviews in the month ending April 30 and have an error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Field work was done by ICR-International Communications Research of Media, Pa.
     The ABC/Money index is derived as follows: The negative response to each index question is subtracted from the positive response to that question. The three resulting numbers are then added and divided by 3. The index can range from +100 (everyone positive on all three measures) to -100 (all negative on all three measures). The survey began in December 1985.

Optimism on Finances Holds Firm

Like many Americans, retired dentist Norman Alpher feels the economy is going strong these days and he expects the good times to last a while. Almost nine of 10 Americans in an Associated Press poll say their finances are better or the same as a year ago.
     More than half said they expect things to get better in the next year.
     “I’m pretty upbeat about it,” says Alpher, a 67-year-old resident of Silver Spring, Md. “Everybody seems to be working and seems to be making a living.”
     Public optimism about the nation’s generally strong economy is about the same now as it was in an AP poll in the late summer of 1998.
     Almost a third in the poll said their finances are better than a year ago, while just about six in 10 say their finances are about the same.
     Almost four in 10 of those with money invested in the stock market said things were better financially than a year ago, while just over a fourth of those with no investments felt that way. Those who made $25,000 or more were more likely to feel things were getting better than those who made less than that.
     Two-thirds of Americans said they have not changed their spending habits because of recent financial news such as fluctuations in the stock market. Three of 10 said they are more cautious.
     More than a third in the poll said they had investments, while six in 10 said they did not. A third said the job market affects them the most personally, while four in 10 said interest rates do. Only one in eight said the stock market had the most influence on them personally.
     Younger adults were more likely to say their financial situation was better, with four-in-10 of adults between 18 and 34 saying that and just over a third of people between 35 and 44.
    
The Associated Press
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