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Among all registered voters who watched the debate, 41 percent said Gore won and an identical 41 percent called Bush the winner a much better showing for Gore than the second debate, when viewers picked Bush as the winner by a 16-point margin.
 Who Won?  |
| |
Gore |
Bush |
Tie
|
| 10/17/00 |
41% |
41 |
14 |
| 10/11/00 |
30% |
46 |
18 |
| 10/03/00 |
42% |
39 |
13 |
|
Gores showing was particularly respectable given the nature of the audience. Viewers were a more pro-Bush group than likely voters at large, favoring Bush by a 13-point margin going into the debate. (Republicans tend to be better-educated and more engaged in politics, which makes them more likely debate watchers.)
Independents are the key swing voter group, and among independents who watched, 47 percent picked Gore as the winner compared to 33 percent for Bush Gores best showing by far among independents in any of the three debates. In the second debate, by contrast, independents picked Bush as the winner by an eight-point margin; in the first they picked Bush by five.
 Who Won? Among Independents  |
| |
Gore |
Bush |
Tie
|
| 10/17/00 |
47% |
33 |
15 |
| 10/11/00 |
32% |
40 |
21 |
| 10/03/00 |
35% |
40 |
20 |
|
Base Running
Gore also did a much better job this time satisfying his own supporters. Among Gores pre-debate supporters, 86 percent picked him as the winner; fewer of Bushs supporters, 72 percent, said their guy won. Thats a turnaround from last week, when only 63 percent of Gore supporters picked him as the winner, while 76 percent of Bushs supporters said he won. Gore improved by 23 points among his fans.
 Who Won?  |
| |
Among: |
Gore supporters |
Bush supporters |
| Gore |
|
86% |
8 |
| Bush |
|
3% |
72 |
| Tie |
|
10% |
15 |
|
As noted, it was an even more pro-Bush audience than watched the second debate. Viewers this time favored Bush over Gore by 53 percent to 40 percent before the debate; that compares to a much closer 48-44 percent among likely voters nationally in an ABCNEWS/Washington Post poll completed Sunday.
Again few minds were directly changed: Gores support among viewers went from 40 percent before the debate to 42 percent afterward; Bushs was unchanged.

Vote Preference Registered Voters Who Watched
 |
| |
Gore |
Bush |
Nader |
Buchanan |
| Before Debate |
40% |
53 |
3 |
1 |
| After Debate |
42% |
53 |
2 |
1 |
|
Viewer Preferences
A more pro-Bush audience has tuned in to each debate. Viewers of the first debate favored Bush by three points; viewers of the second debate favored him by 10; and viewers of the third debate favored him by 13 points.
Thats not surprising given the nature of the candidates supporters. Among Republicans in the last ABCNEWS/Post poll, 41 percent said they were following the race very closely, while among Democrats just 28 percent were following it very closely. That level of attention is what leads more Republicans and thus more Bush supporters to tune in, especially to subsequent debates.
Gender Gap
The gender gap was back in this debate: More women picked Gore as the winner, more men picked Bush. Thats also better for Gore than the second debate, when women a key group for him divided about evenly on who won.

Who Won?
 |
| |
|
Gore |
Bush |
Tie |
| 10/17 Debate |
Men |
34% |
46 |
17 |
| |
Women |
47% |
35 |
12 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 10/11 Debate |
Men |
24% |
50 |
19 |
| |
Women |
37% |
41 |
16 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 10/3 Debate |
Men |
32% |
45 |
18 |
| |
Women |
52% |
33 |
9 |
|
Methodology
This survey was conducted by telephone among a random-sample panel of 507 registered voters who watched Tuesdays debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 12-15. The results have a 4.5-point error margin. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.
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