September 7, 2008
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The Note
Back To Butter
The Vote is Over... Let the Campaign Begin (again?)

By Mark Halperin and Elizabeth Wilner
& Marc Ambinder
with Brooke Brower and Matthew Silverstein
on the keyboards.

ABCNEWS.com

W A S H I N G T O N, October 11
25 Days Until The Election....

—While most of the morning papers and shows pause to deal with the Iraq resolution, now on its way to President Bush to sign at a time and place TBD, there are plenty of indications that both major political parties already have moved on.



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While most of the morning papers and shows pause to deal with the Iraq resolution, now on its way to President Bush to sign at a time and place TBD, there are plenty of indications that both major political parties already have moved on.

Psychologically for both parties and for the political press corps, but particularly for Democrats, the vote on the Iraq resolution was to the final stretch of the fall campaign what September 11 was to the kick-off: an emotional tollbooth that had to be passed through in order for the 2002 campaign to proceed.

Because the White House has a substantive international reason to stress American bipartisan unity on the vote, Republicans aren't likely to play up the fact that the dissent came almost entirely from the other party.

None of the Democrats likely to run for president in 2004 voted against the resolution, and only one Senate Democrat locked in a tough race this fall, Paul Wellstone, voted no. Meaning that last night's vote isn't likely to endure as a political issue anywhere outside of Minnesota — where we're not sure Wellstone's "no" vote is going to make him any more vulnerable than he already was.

Based on how the president's schedule is shaping up between now and election day, it would appear that Republicans aren't shying away from trying to nationalize this election around the popularity of George W. Bush.

The Washington Post 's Allen says, "President Bush will hit the road for 14 straight days before the Nov. 5 elections, stopping in as many as four states a day during a taxpayer-subsidized campaign spree that appears unconstrained by preparations for war." LINK

"A tentative schedule even includes stops in New York and California and two in Pennsylvania — all states that lack tight races this year but are likely to play a major role in Bush's reelection strategy."

"Republicans were often critical of President Bill Clinton for his heavy schedule of politicking, but White House press secretary Ari Fleischer was unabashed in describing" the tour.

"Most of Bush's political travel has been centered on fundraisers — he has raised a record $141 million for his party — but aides said that in coming weeks many of the president's stops will consist of rallies designed to draw favorable local news media attention to Republicans."

"Bush is scheduled to make two trips, including an overnight visit, to Florida to aid the suddenly treacherous reelection race of younger brother Gov. Jeb Bush (R). In the four days before Nov. 5, Bush's tentative schedule has him visiting most of the states with tight Senate races: New Jersey, New Hampshire, Tennessee, Georgia, Iowa, South Dakota, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas and Texas."

"On Election Day, Bush will vote in Crawford."

Democrats, meanwhile, are turning full bore onto the economy. Tom Daschle, after calling yesterday for Bush to fire economic adviser Larry Lindsey et al, will team up with Dick Gephardt, who just scheduled an economic policy speech for Tuesday, to host a "bipartisan" economic summit today, with no participation from the White House. The hosts were careful to point out that members of the president's economic team and Social Security commission all declined to attend. LINK

At 9:30 am, participants will be asked whether the economy is on the right track or the wrong track. (Note prediction: wrong track.)

The next hour will focus on corporate responsibility. (Note prediction: greed, bad. Republicans in pocket of business.)

The third hour will focus on a host of policy proposals: pensions, 401(k)s, and Social Security. (Note prediction: privatization, bad. Republicans want to privatize Social Security.)

Add this to the Democratic agenda today: "As expected, retail sales declined by 1.2% in September," notes ABCNEWS' Schindelheim. "This is the biggest drop since November of last year."

While House and Senate Democrats rehash talking points, hoping that regional media will pick them up, affiliated interest groups will seek to use economic issues to motivate the base.

Organized labor's massive get-out-the-vote push, for instance, will try to unite disparate union members around the theme of corporate accountability.

On Saturday, October 19, AFL-CIO president John Sweeney will kick off the effort in Baltimore, and that entire weekend and the following week will be filled with "No More Business As Usual" events.

Officially, this is an issue extravaganza aimed at Washington. Unofficially, the AFL-CIO folks will use this campaign as an excuse to phone bank, precinct walk, and door-knock as many union households as possible.

In focus groups conducted over the past six weeks, the AFL-CIO claims that Iraq barely comes up. People know there's a possible impending war, they say, but are not terribly interested in hearing more about it.

Within the Democratic party, the debate continues over whether the party needs to come up with a message on the economy, or not.

Jackie Calmes writes in the Wall Street Journal , "Despite talk, economic-stimulus measures won't pass this year. GOP leaders consider having a House vote as early as Friday on investor tax breaks. But partisanship, deficit and lack of time doom such efforts … Democrats want a Senate vote next week on jobless benefits. Friday, Congress' Democratic leaders Daschle and Gephardt host their own economic 'summit' after rebuffs from Bush, GOP. Other Democrats bemoan the party Babel. 'We need a unified party position on the economy,' says Senator Hollings. 'We've got a crybaby position — all we do is whine.'"

The Washington Times says, "with about 3½ weeks to go before the Nov. 5 elections, neither party had any major new end-of-session legislative proposals on the table that would deal with the overall economy's persistent anemia. Democratic leaders again called for an economic summit with the White House to revisit Mr. Bush's budget and reopen the across-the-board income-tax cuts passed last year. However, they have refused to call for the repeal of the tax cuts, despite demands from some liberal Democrats." LINK

EJ Dionne has been conducting his own survey on whether or not the war trumps the economy as a top concern for voters outside the Beltway (i.e., the vast majority), and finds that "[w]hat has emerged is a compelling alternative view: that Iraq and foreign policy are, indeed, important to many voters, but that these voters are for the most part loyal Republicans who would have voted with their party, war or no war." LINK

"Among Democrats, on the other hand, the war is less salient — and the Democrats who do care about the war are against it. Crucially, political independents seem more inclined to vote on the economy or domestic issues such as heath care. In other words, the war issue matters least to the voters most likely to determine the outcome of the election. The war matters most to the voters whose minds couldn't be changed anyway."

Following major national surveys, a new Pew poll suggests that economy weighs on voters' minds. LINK

Democrats will take heart over this Raleigh News & Observer lead: "As the nation's capital focused on war Thursday, the two major candidates vying to replace U.S. Senator Jesse Helms focused on fixing North Carolina's ailing economy … Folks in the barbecue joints, factories and community centers aren't asking about Saddam Hussein; they say people want to hear whether they and their families will continue to have opportunities for a good life in North Carolina." LINK

The Washington Post looks at state budget woes translating into Medicaid cuts. "All but nine states have taken — or are planning — steps to rein in Medicaid expenditures this year." LINK

"The states' problems are spilling into Congress as governors and other state officials lobby the federal government aggressively for relief … States are pinning their hopes on a plan, passed by the Senate in July, that would temporarily increase federal Medicaid payments — by $6 billion over 18 months, although some senators are considering providing less. But the White House opposes the measure. And asked whether the House would consider it, a spokesman for Speaker J. Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.) said, 'I don't think we are doing it.'"

Within the GOP, unlike within the Democratic party, there is a consensus: the White House and congressional Republicans have to look like they are doing something about the economy.

On Bush's invocation of Taft-Hartley on the dock lockout, the Los Angeles Times says Bush "struck a double blow: one against what government lawyers argued was a threat to economic and national security, and a second against what pollsters said could be a threat to Republican political security … [A] close look at the president's actions suggests that they were motivated by more than the immediate effects of the shutdown." LINK

"Recent polls show that even as official Washington is riveted by the prospect of war with Iraq, ordinary Americans are more concerned about the fragile state of the economy. By putting an end to the shutdown, Bush was able to act decisively on both issues, and to present himself as addressing voter worries."

"References to the economy have been winning more prominent billing in the president's speeches in recent days after more than a month of intensive focus on Iraq."

The story notes that Bush's pro-economy rhetoric differed from the basis for argument in all the legal briefs: "government lawyers went to great lengths to portray the country as effectively at war and argue that the ports shutdown stands in the way of the war effort."

We'll be making the rounds of the Christian Coalition Road to Victory conference today to see what pro-life folks and social conservatives intend to use to motivate their base.

One very prominent social conservative leader yesterday he didn't think abortion or gay rights — two mainstays of evangelical GOTV efforts — would feature prominently this year. (Our own informal survey finds abortion playing in a handful of races, and only two city-wide gay rights battles of Note.)

Instead, he said that economic issues, shaped by a perception that obstructionist Democrats and liberals oppose further tax cuts and conservative judges, are just as likely to motivate their voters as the more common social trigger points.

One simple way to figure this out: check out the motivational and political literature in the exhibition hall. And topping today's convention agenda: a session with Joyce Meyers, evangelical Christianity's Dr. Phil, and a rally for the solidarity of Israel at 1:00 p.m..

The latest sniper attack in Manassas, VA keeps the sniper front and center again — and it's seeping into Maryland's hotter races.

"One day after vowing to avoid the gun issue as long as a serial sniper is on the prowl," Democratic gubernatorial nominee Kathleen Kennedy Townsend "abruptly shifted gears and yesterday shipped a new ad to Washington TV stations that bashes her GOP opponent in the Maryland governor's race for voting against a ban on 'assault weapons.'" LINK

"In the 30-second ad, which is scheduled to begin airing today, the camera pans over an array of militaristic-looking rifles, then cuts to a man pulling a handgun out of his front pocket. A male announcer tells viewers that Republican Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. 'voted against banning assault weapons and cheap handguns' and earned an F grade from the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence."

The Ehrlich campaign accused Townsend of trying to make political hay out of people's fears about the sniper. The Townsend campaign seems to have been prompted to launch the spot after moderate GOP Rep. Connie Morella of Montgomery County went up with a radio ad featuring a complimentary Sarah Brady.

The New York Times ' Nagourney has his own take-out. LINK

The Dock Lock Out

Picking up from where we left off in the summary about how government lawyers used national security arguments to make their case for invoking Taft-Hartley, the Wall Street Journal 's Cummings and Tejeda cast Bush's intervention in the dispute as "the latest in a string of decisions siding with management — which may portend darker days ahead for unions and undermine the White House strategy of siphoning labor support from Democrats."

"Since taking office, Mr. Bush used his power to block three strikes against major airline carriers, and has watered down Clinton administration rules for protecting workers from repetitive-stress injuries. He has squeezed the budgets for safety and health inspectors at workplaces, and revoked a rule that required government contractors to verify that businesses receiving federal money were in compliance with labor and environmental laws."

And of course, there's the civil service employee issue that has stalled the homeland security legislation.

"Mr. Bush's decision to intervene at the ports and, last year, in several airline labor disputes comes after a two-decade decline in major management-labor disruptions."

"By identifying the war on terrorism as one of its justifications for securing an injunction under Taft-Hartley against labor or management disruptions, the White House could be laying the groundwork for much broader interventions."

Democrats of course are hoping all of this energizes union support. And the Wall Street Journal 's Calmes notes, "The president, who's been to Florida five times this year already, may be in the state again next week to campaign for the governor. Amid coverage of recent Jeb Bush gaffes at the week's start, a Republican confides a private poll had him losing ground to Democrat lawyer Bill McBride … Florida unions angry at his and his brother's policies mobilize voters for a Nov. 5 upset."

Legislative Agenda

Jackie Calmes leads the Wall Street Journal 's Washington Wire with: "Democrats plan to give the GOP something it demands — the first vote on a bill creating a homeland-defense cabinet department. The Bush-backed version by Sens. Gramm and Miller would let Bush waive federal workers' union rights."

"But Democrats say they can defeat that bill with a strategy to keep the votes of vulnerable Democrats such as Georgia's Cleland, who were wary of bucking Bush. Democrat leaders would reoffer Gramm-Miller — but add a worker-rights compromise that Bush has rejected. The GOP could filibuster, but Democrats would duck blame for killing the department. If passed, a Senate bill still must be reconciled with GOP-led House's plan."

ABC 2004: The Invisible Primary

Next Tuesday, as Noted above, Dick Gephardt will present "A Plan for Promoting Economic Growth" before a group of economists and the press at an Economic Policy Institute forum.

"In his speech," goes the advisery we received, "Gephardt will argue that the nation has been led down the wrong economic path, as shown by numerous indicators across the country. He will articulate his vision of new priorities to get the economy back on the right track and promote growth and jobs."

Vermont Gov. Howard Dean is in Savannah, GA this morning, breakfasting with Georgia legislators and then addressing the South Carolina NAACP convention (if you have to ask why the convention is being held in Georgia, you need to bone up on your South Carolina piece of the Invisible Primary pie). The Rev. Al Sharpton also will speak at the convention. LINK

Senator Joe Lieberman also heads to South Carolina this weekend, followed by New Hampshire on Monday and Tuesday morning.

The Union-Leader has details about Lieberman's Monday visit. LINK

One of our favorite Granite State sources sent along an e-mail notice of a "continental breakfast" with Senator John Kerry at Rivier College on October 20; cost: $20 per person for the Nashua Democratic City Committee.

The Wall Street Journal 's Calmes reports, "Fight over judgeships spills into Southerners' Senate campaigns." Why is this item included here? Because: "Through the nonprofit Committee for Justice, Republicans plan media ads in North Carolina blasting the state's Democratic Senator Edwards for helping block some Bush nominees to federal courts. Their other target: Democratic Senate candidate Erskine Bowles. 'Bowles is going to have to say, is he more like Edwards or is he going to represent North Carolina interests,' says business lobbyist Ed Rogers.'"

Election Reform

The House resoundingly passed the election reform bill last night, and we're told the Senate will likely follow suit today. LINK

Chad and Dimples aren't new Sesame Street characters; they are tools to educate voters in Cook County, IL about the county's enfeebled/fabled punch card ballot system. LINK

Campaign Finance

The Campaign Finance Institute, a nonpartisan research and public policy group, has studied the internet-based campaign finance disclosure system and finds it highly lacking. LINK

Politics

The Wall Street Journal 's editors take the bilingual education initiatives in Colorado and Massachusetts to task.

On the heels of Tom Daschle's impassioned plea to his Senate colleagues for more money to help elect Democrats to the Senate a few weeks ago, Democratic House campaign committee chair Nita Lowey cut a $500,000 check for her committee and gave what Roll Call depicts as an equally a rousing pitch to her colleagues (minus an enthusiastic Senator Byrd). Lowey got lots of praise for the speech, though her underlying message about House Democrats lagging in the money chase is a bit grim for the party. LINK

The DCCC will hold a pen-and-pad briefing today at 2:00 p.m..

The two Bills (the GOP's McInturff and Democrats' Carrick) and ABCNEWS Political Director Mark Halperin will zero in on the hot Senate races on "This Week with George Stephanopoulos" on Sunday, set up by a look at Bush branding — how frequently Democrat as well as Republican candidates across the country are invoking the president on the stump and in their advertising.

Also on Sunday, South Carolina Senate contenders Lindsey Graham (R) and Alex Sanders (D) are sure to get their usual lively in their face-off on Meet the Press.

Mickey Kaus wonders why welfare reform reauthorization hasn't become a wedge issue for Republicans running against Democrats in fiscally centrist or conservative states. And he wonders and wonders and wonders. LINK

If you have theories about this (Kaus' question, not Kaus himself), e-mail us at politicalunit@abcnews.com

We wonder if Steve Rattner cleared the top half of his New York Times op-ed saying the economy ain't so bad with his wife. LINK

Montana

In what The Note fervently hopes will not become a trend, the November 5 ballot lost — sort of — another Senate candidate yesterday.

Mike Taylor's name will remain on the Montana ballot as the Republican nominee against Democratic Senator Max Baucus, but Taylor is suspending his campaign after his poll standing apparently plunged in the wake of a mother of a Democratic party TV ad showing a young Taylor in disco-style garb practicing his hair-styling profession and applying lotion to the face of a male customer.

Now.

If Republicans had run an ad like this against a Democratic candidate, even without any explicit suggestion that the candidate is gay, the media and national gay rights groups would scream bloody murder.

Also, if this story had happened in an East Coast state, it would be getting major national press coverage and micro semiotic analysis of the ad.

But of course, neither of these things is the case, and Republicans are left with Taylor on the ballot and the prospect of some write-in effort, but no real shot here at a Democrat who, because of the nature of the state and his style of politicking, should be/would be vulnerable to a credible challenge.

"Montana Secretary of State Bob Brown said finding a replacement candidate replacing Taylor would probably be more difficult in his state because the election code is much more specific — and restrictive — on such matters. But the law does allow write-in campaigns up to 15 days before the election." LINK

Taylor said yesterday that he may sue Senator Baucus or the Montana Democratic Party for libel, slander and defamation. http://209.41.184.21/partners/311/public/news375234.html

Somewhat overlooked in all this mess is that Taylor had no money left. "Taylor's campaign also had run out of money, with only $40,000 in the left in the bank as of Thursday morning, with debts of $65,000 that Taylor will repay, campaign manager Alan Mikkelsen said. The only chance for Taylor to fight back would be for the candidate to drop in an additional $250,000 to $500,000, on top of the $1 million he already had donated to his campaign, Mikkelsen said." LINK

Missouri

Lois Romano's latest look at the Missouri Senate race features Senator Jean Carnahan (D) skeet shooting, and quotes from the RNC's often elusive Jack Oliver. "What this Senate race will likely turn on, experts agree, is neither a war with Iraq nor the downwardly spiraling economy, but the same factors that will dictate the outcome of many elections nationwide, how well each party identifies potential voters and gets them to the polls." LINK

Florida

Governor Bush today will be joined by HUD Secretary Mel Martinez when campaigning in Hispanic neighborhoods of Tampa and West Palm Beach.

USA Today 's Lawrence, in a nice look at the race, notes how Democrats look at Jeb and see George W.. LINK

Almost out of cash, Democratic nominee Bill McBride has added Bill Clinton to his schedule. LINK

The husband of GOP House candidate Ginny Brown-Waite and a Waite campaign aide got caught stealing signs for Waite's opponent, Democratic Rep. Karen Thurman.

California

Republican gubernatorial candidate Bill Simon "regrets" having wrongfully accused Gov. Gray Davis (D) of accepting a political contribution in a government office during their debate earlier this week. "But Simon stopped short of using the word 'apology.'" LINK

Simon's uber-consultant used a metaphor that might not play well in greater Washington, DC these days. "A top Simon strategist, veteran GOP consultant Ed Rollins, later took the blame for the embarrassing incident, saying the campaign at first believed it had found a 'silver bullet' to use against Davis. 'It was a bullet. We put it in the gun wrong. We shot ourselves in the head,' Rollins said." LINK

The Los Angeles Times offers Governor Woogie, Part Two. LINK

Iowa

The gubernatorial race "converged" around the issue of property taxes yesterday, the Des Moines Register reports. "Doug Gross, the Republican candidate for governor, outlined a property-tax containment plan that would require a vote of local government officials before they can collect additional taxes." LINK Democratic Rep. Leonard Boswell and GOP opponent Stan Thompson used a radio debate to stress their differences on personality, trade policy, and taxes. LINK

New Hampshire

"Now slightly trailing in the U.S. Senate race according to a new poll, John E. Sununu yesterday accused Jeanne Shaheen of violating the basic New Hampshire political principles of straight talk and keeping taxes low." Sununu later used the words "Clintonesque doubletalk." Shaheen's spokesman dismissed the charges. LINK

New York

Rudy Giuliani lent GOP Gov. George Pataki's supporters some free Giuliani Partners advice yesterday: don't be complacent about the Big Guy's big lead in the polls. LINK

Meanwhile, Pataki got a "slap" from Democratic opponent Carl McCall on mental health services, but an "A" from the big city teacher's union. LINK

Now that the war vote is in the past, Dick Morris can focus on what we all really care about: "four Judith Leiber bags Hillary Clinton denied having every received." LINK

North Carolina

New local media and Democratic polling shows the Senate race tightening and well within single digits. GOP nominee Elizabeth "Dole said she had long expected the race to close up as the election got closer. 'As far as tightening, I always said it would. I always knew it would,' Dole said in an interview with reporters and editors of The News and Observer. 'Please know the campaign is not falling apart when it starts to tighten. We have to inoculate people and the press that this is going to happen.'" LINK

We appreciate the way Rob Christensen puts this: "In an announcement only Vice President Dick Cheney could love, the campaigns of Democrat Erskine Bowles and Republican Elizabeth Dole announced Thursday that they will hold their first debate. Where? They won't say. What day? Sorry, it's a secret. Will Bowles and Dole actually be in the same room? Mum's the word." LINK

"The only thing they said was that a tape of the debate will be available to be aired on television statewide at 7 p.m. Monday. The tape will be 58 minutes long."

"Since Meredith College is listed as the host, the debate presumably will take place somewhere on the school's campus in West Raleigh. It will be produced by WRAL and WTVD."

Maryland

In yet another case of Republicans trying to blur the lines, moderate GOP Rep. Connie Morella is up with a new TV ad accusing her Democratic opponent of supporting tax cuts for the wealthy. LINK

Colorado

A new poll shows Senator Wayne Allard (R) virtually neck and neck with opponent Tom Strickland (D). And being that close to your opponent, we have to guess, uncomfortable. We wonder whether an infusion of center-left issue ads will knock things loose. LINK

Minnesota

Most Minnesotans will have their first opportunity to directly compare Senator Paul Wellstone (D) with his challenger, former St. Paul Mayor Norm Coleman (R), when they debate on the KTCA-Channel 2 program "Almanac" at 7:00 p.m. tonight.

LINK

The two plan to debate again next Tuesday.

Minnesota's campaign ethics board scolded the state Republican Party and Tim Pawlenty's gubernatorial campaign on Thursday, fining the party $4,000 and ordering the campaign to enter a conciliation process that could lead to fines amounting to millions of dollars. LINK

Kansas

Tim Shallenburger, the Republican candidate for governor, unveiled a hard-hitting TV ad Thursday that questions Democrat Kathleen Sebelius' votes on flag desecration and laws to protect children. LINK

Bush Administration Strategy/Personality

The Washington Post 's Allen has a must-read on White House speechwriter Mike Gerson's role in, and education on preparing the nation for war.

"Gerson is often invited into the Situation Room to soak in the discussion before addresses on terrorism or the Middle East. For Bush's speech to the United Nations last month, Gerson helped establish the just-the-facts tone for the litany of complaints against Iraq's Saddam Hussein." LINK

"Formal speeches have been so crucial to building Bush's credibility after a gaffe-prone candidacy that scholars are calling Gerson the most influential presidential speechwriter since Theodore C. Sorensen, confidant and muse of President John F. Kennedy."

"White House officials said Gerson's clout has increased even more now that Bush's longtime adviser Karen P. Hughes is no longer at the White House on a daily basis, even though she remains deeply involved in shaping Bush's image."

It bears repeating: this guy is soooooo key.

The Agenda

— 9:00 am, Christian Coalition Road to Victory Conference begins, Washington Convention Center
—9:30 am, White House off-camera morning gaggle
— 9:30 am, Democratic leaders Daschle and Gephardt chair bipartisan economic forum
—10:30 am, President Bush makes remarks on humanitarian aid to Afghanistan, 450 EEOB
—12:15 pm, White House on-camera briefing
—2:00 pm, Democratic House campaign committee pen and pad briefing
— 2:30 pm, Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle briefs
—7:00 pm, President and Mrs. Bush attend the 2nd Annual National Book Festival Gala Performance, Library of Congress
— 9:45 pm, President and Mrs. Bush arrive back at the White House

Major Futures

Newly listed events are italicized.

— Oct. 7: Michigan gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 7: Illinois gubernatorial candidates debate
#151; Oct. 7: South Dakota Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 7: California gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 8: President Bush headlines fundraiser for gubernatorial candidate Rep. Van Hilleary, TN
Oct. 8: Sen. Joseph Lieberman attends fundraiser for Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, MD
#151; Oct. 9: Democratic National Committee hosts Get-Out-The-Vote concert, with musicians and the Clintons in attendence, DC
— Oct. 9: Texas gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 11: Retail sales figure for September due
— Oct. 11: Congress target date for adjournment.
—Oct. 11-12: Christian Coalition's "God Bless America—One Nation Under God Road to Victory 2002" conference, DC
— Oct. 12: New York gubernatorial candidate debate
— Oct. 12: Actor Robert Redford campaigns for South Carolina Senate candidate Alex Sanders
— Oct. 13: Iowa State Hand-Cornhusking contest, Kimballton, Iowa
— Oct. 13: Tennessee Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 13: Illinois Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 13: New Hampshire Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 14: Oregon gubernatorial candidate debate (tentative)
— (tentative) Oct. 14: Arkansas Senate candidates to debate
— Oct. 14-15: Former Vice President Gore visits Iowa
— Oct. 14-15: Sen. Joseph Lieberman visits New Hampshire
— Oct. 15: Michigan gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct: 15: Minnesota Senate candidate debate, Moorehead
— Oct. 15-17: Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn) travels to Iowa
— Oct. 16: Federal pre-general campaign finance period ends
— Oct. 17: Minnesota Senate candidate debate, Rochester
— Oct. 17: Rep. Tom Davis (R) and Rep. Nita Lowey (D) at National Press Club
— Oct. 17: Secretary of State Colin Powell keynotes Al Smith dinner, New York
— Oct. 18: New Mexico gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 18: Consumer Price Index figure for September due
— Oct. 18: South Carolina Senate candidates debate, Clemson
— Oct. 18: New Hampshire Democratic Party Jefferson-Jackson Dinner, with Sen. John Edwards as host
— Oct. 19: Sen. John McCain hosts Saturday Night Live, New York
— Oct. 19: Former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley visits Iowa
— Oct. 19: AFL-CIO begins pre-election get-out-the-vote rallies
— Oct. 20: Sen. Joseph Lieberman visits Florida
— Oct. 20: Former President Bush holds fundraiser for Rep. Greg Ganske, Des Moines
— Oct. 20: South Carolina Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 20: Alabama gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 20: Tennessee Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 21: Index of leading economic indicators for September figure due
— Oct. 21: South Dakota Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 21: Minnesota Senate candidates debate, St. Cloud
— Oct. 21: Missouri Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 21: New Hampshire Senate candidates debate at the University of New Hampshire
— Oct. 21: New Hampshire 1st Congressional District debate on WMUR.
— Oct. 22: New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District debate on WMUR and NHPTV
— Oct. 22: Florida gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 22: New Hampshire gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 23-24: FEC holds rule-making hearings on coordinated and independent expenditures
— Oct. 23: Former President Clinton headlines a megafundraiser for gubernatorial candidate Carl McCall
— Oct. 24: (tentative) Texas gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 24: Pre-general campaign finance report due to FEC
— Oct. 24: Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidates debate
— Oct. 24: (tentative) Texas Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 24: Missouri Senate candidates debate
— OCt. 24: New Hampshire gubernatorial debate
— Oct. 24-25: Sen. Joseph Lieberman visits Texas to campaign for Democratic candidates
— Oct. 25: Durable goods orders, new home sales and existing home sales figures due
— Oct. 25: South Carolina Senate candidates debate, Columbia
— Oct. 25: New Hampshire Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 26: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton's birthday
— Oct. 26: Karl Rove headlines 2nd Annual Ronald Reagan dinner, Des Moines, Iowa
— Oct. 28: Minnesota Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 30: (tenative) South Dakota Senate candidates debate
— Oct. 30: SpeakUp! Youth Forum with New York gubernatorial candidates
—Oct. 31: Early voting begins in Oklahoma
— Oct. 31: Estimate of third quarter GDP is released
— Nov. 1: Data for September employment, personal income and personal spending due
— Nov. 3: New Mexico gubernatorial candidates debate
— Nov. 4: Laura Bush's birthday
— Nov. 4: Deadline for opening briefs, McCain-Feingold lawsuit (tentative).
— Nov. 5: Election Day
— Nov. 5: President and Laura Bush's silver wedding anniversary.
— Nov. 6: New FEC disclosure and soft money rules go into effect
— Nov. 8-9: Association of American Trial Lawyers Board of Governors meeting, Washington, D.C.
— Nov 10-15: National Congress of American Indians annual meeting, San Diego
— Nov. 17: Vermont Gov. Howard Dean's birthday.
— Nov. 18: Deadline for opposition briefs, McCain-Feingold lawsuit (tentative).
— Nov. 18: Elizabeth Dole campaign e-spam lawsuit trial date
— Nov. 20: Delaware Senator. Joseph Biden's birthday
— Nov. 21-23: Republican Governors Association annual meeting, Dana Point, California
— Nov. 30: Special election to replace Rep. Patsy Mink (D), Hawaii-02
— Dec. 4: Oral arguments begun in McCain-Feingold lawsuit. (tentative)
— Dec. 5: Strom Thurmond's 100th birthday
— Dec. 5: Post-general election campaign finance reports due
— Dec. 9: South Dakota Sen. Tom Daschle's birthday
— Dec. 9: DGA winter holiday event, DC
— Dec. 11: Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry's birthday
— Dec. 13: Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack's birthday
— Dec. 26: California Gov. Gray Davis's birthday
— Jan, 1 2003: New federal individual contribution limits take effect (tentative)
— Jan 18, 2003: Linn County, Iowa Third Annual sustaining banquet with guests to be announced.
— Jan. 30, 2003: Vice President Dick Cheney's birthday
— Jan 30-Feb. 1, 2003: Conservative Political Action Conference, Crystal City, Virginia — Jan. 31, 2003: Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt's birthday
— Jan. 31, 2003: Year end campaign finance reports due to FEC
— Feb. 24, 2003: Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman's birthday
— March 11, 2003: Georgia Gov. Roy Barnes's birthday
— March 31, 2003: Al Gore's birthday
— May 19, 2003: Al and Tipper Gore's 33rd wedding anniversary
— May 27, 2003: Jury selection begins in U.S. vs. Moussaoui
— June 15, 2003: Senate/House/key adviser personal financial disclosure forms due
— June 30, 2003: tentative start date for Mossaoui trial
— July 6: President Bush's birthday
— July 28: Bill Bradley's birthday.
— Aug. 14: Lynne Cheney's birthday
— Aug. 19: Bill Clinton's birthday
— Aug 19: Tipper Gore's birthday

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