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the note
Changing Landscape
Dadam Bagourney Sees Things As They Are

By Mark Halperin, Lisa Todorovich, Gayle Tzemach, David Chalian, Brooke Brower, and Karen Travers
with Hadley Gamble and Blake Rasmussen

ABCNEWS.com

W A S H I N G T O N, Nov. 4—
Today's Schedule (all times Eastern):

—6:00 am: Polls open in Kentucky gubernatorial race
—7:00 am: Polls open in Philadelphia mayoral race
—8:00 am: Polls open in Mississippi gubernatorial race
—9:30 am: Governor Howard Dean holds a meet and greet, Jacksonville, Fla.
—9:30 am: Senate convenes for legislative business
—10:30 am: General Wesley Clark campaigns with Nashua mayoral candidate Steve Bolton, Nashua, N.H.
—11:45 am: President Bush takes an aerial tour of the San Diego area, Miramar, Calif.
—12:00 pm: Governor Dean delivers remarks, Tallahassee, Fla.
—12:25 pm: President Bush takes a walking tour, Harbison Canyon, Calif.
—12:30 pm: House convenes for legislative business
—1:25 pm: President Bush receives a briefing on wildfires, El Cajon, Calif.
—1:45 pm: President Bush makes remarks to off-duty fire fighters, El Cajon, Calif.
—5:00 pm: Congressman Dennis Kucinich attends a campaign rally at Faneuil Hall, Boston
—5:00 pm: Governor Dean attends a Generation Dean rally at Faneuil Hall, Boston
—7:00 pm: Rock the Vote/CNN presidential town hall forum at Faneuil Hall, Boston
—7:00 pm: Polls close in Kentucky gubernatorial race
—8:00 pm: Polls close in Philadelphia mayoral and Mississippi gubernatorial races
—8:00 pm: Congressman Dick Gephardt meets with Greene County Democrats, Jefferson, Iowa

NEWS SUMMARY

On a day when actual voters will actually vote … On a day when Dan Balz and Adam Nagourney have written spookily identical Iraq/economy "changing landscape" presidential politics stories in the Washington Post and New York Times LINK and LINK

On a day when Matthew Dowd tests our limits of tolerance for his memorandum "warnings" that the president's poll numbers will go down … LINK

On a day when Dick Gephardt shows the good sense to skip CNN's part-tee in Boston with the other eight candidates … On a day when political insiders are still trying to figure out what Howard Dean meant when he mass e-mailed this PS: "Pay close attention to your inbox this week. On Thursday I will be sending you the most important email of this campaign. Please be sure to open it."

On a day when Robert Pear sneaks a REALLY important Medicare story inside the New York Times … . LINK

On a day when Ron Fournier proves he is the most silkily charming Son of Detroit since Nathan (by getting three presidential campaigns to admit conspiring against Howard Dean on the SEIU endorsement) … LINK

On a day when George Bush does his best Bill Clinton imitation by feeling California's pain … . On a day when Lorne Michaels proves once and for all that he has lost his judgment by choosing Al Sharpton over Dennis Kucinich … . LINK

On a day when the Boston Globe 's Peter Cannello's does the world's best First Mom deconstruction ever … LINK

And on a day when Alan Murray celebrates school choice as the great civil rights issue of our time … . On a day such as this, The Note (a subsidiary of the Walt Disney Company) held a 4 am ET staff meeting and decided not to write a single word about the CBS cancellation of the Reagan mini-series.

We are confident we made the right decision. (The only dissent came from a Googling monkey named "Bonzo.") As for today's elections, The Note maintains its policy of avoiding both prediction (See Berra, Yogi LINK) and taking the choice away from the voters by citing pre-election polling that might discourage participation.

Suffice to say, the big contests are the governor's races in Mississippi and Kentucky, two seats currently held by Democrats, and where both sides are working hard, even as we type.

Polls close in Kentucky at 7 pm ET, and in Mississippi at 8 pm ET. There are key mayoral contests in Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Houston (big day, this, for that nice Russ Schriefer LINK … ).

And, as the AP so tightly puts it, "In other elections Tuesday, voters could break the Republican-Democratic tie in New Jersey's state Senate, and Virginia and Mississippi will also hold legislative elections. Voters will decide on gambling issues in Maine, Indiana and Colorado; mass transit in Houston, Tucson, Ariz., and Kansas City, Mo.; and an anti-stress proposal in Denver."

President Bush is in California today. Governor Davis and Governor-elect Schwarzenegger will join the president for his tour of fire damaged areas and for his remarks to off-duty fire fighters in El Cajon.

Tonight at 7 pm ET is the Rock the Vote/CNN presidential town hall forum at Faneuil Hall in Boston. All candidates except Congressman Gephardt are scheduled to attend.

Governor Dean campaigns in Florida today and he's in Boston tonight.

Congressman Gephardt is in Iowa today.

General Clark and Senator Edwards will campaign in New Hampshire today and head to Boston tonight for the forum.

Senator Kerry, Senator Lieberman, Reverend Sharpton and Ambassador Moseley Braun campaign in Boston today.

Congressman Kucinich will vote in Cleveland today and then head to Boston.

ABC News Vote 2003: Kentucky, Mississippi, and Philadelphia, and more:

The Mississippi and Kentucky governors' elections headline a day of races all around the country. The AP highlights the major ones. LINK

Mississippi Secretary of State Eric Clark expects voter turnout for today's election to be up slightly over last year, but warns that negative campaigns may cause "something of a drag on turnout." LINK

Both Barbour and Musgrove are writing off expectations that their Mississippi gubernatorial election will signal any national trends. LINK

Kentucky election officials predict "better than lukewarm interest. Call it moderate interest." Even a high turnout, typically a boon for Democrats, would not signal any likely outcomes, as Kentucky Democrats have been defecting lately. LINK

The San Francisco Chronicle provides a sampling of the candidates' exhausting final days of the campaign. LINK

ABC News Vote 2003: Louisiana:

Breaking party ranks, New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin is endorsing Republican Bobby Jindal in the Louisiana November 15 governor's race run-off. LINK

Big Casino budget politics:

The New York Times ' Robert Pear examines the White House- and House GOP-backed cost-control proposals now on the table in the Medicare negotiations. LINK

The politics of national security:

Get your $87.5 billion here — loan-free! The president's wish is Granted as the Senate says "yes" to his supplemental request on a voice vote with a handful of Senators present, which, the New York Times Notes, means "the decisions of individual members on the administration's vision for Iraq were not recorded." LINK

Notes the Washington Post 's Helen Dewar as she expertly tells her readers what cash goes where, "the decision to skip a recorded vote underscored the political dilemma for many senators who want to support U.S. troops but have strong misgivings about Bush's postwar policies in Iraq." LINK

Knight Ridder's Kuhnhenn picks up on Senate Democrats' letter to the president seeking a timeline for an Iraqi constitution and elections. LINK

The Wall Street Journal follows the Washington Post 's nifty number Noting yesterday on the number of Iraqi troops on the beat as it examines the president's success in convincing the American public that the U.S. is indeed making progress in Iraq.

Perhaps the Spaniards define progress a bit differently? In any case, the AP reports Spain is withdrawing much of its diplomatic staff in Iraq for security reasons. LINK

Both the New York Times and the Washington Post focus on the hostility and more facing American troops in Fallujah. The Post finds some officers who aren't ready to say the U.S. is winning a war of attrition against the insurgents. LINK and LINK

The New York Times op-ed page brimmeth over with Iraq news with no fewer than five pieces on the subject. The Paper of Record's ed board says America must "stand firm" in Iraq, then demands a "plausible" presidential "exit strategy." LINK

And Paul Krugman says there's no way to sustain this kind of troop commitment. LINK

David Brooks argues the Iraqification strategy works "for the long haul," but right now the president must "preserve our national morale" and remind us sunny Americans that "Iraq is the Battle of Midway in the war on terror." Former deputy assistant secretary of the Treasury Mark Medish says Iraqi debt relief is one bad idea. LINK

Speaking of Iraq, ABC News continues to air "Iraq: Where Things Stand," a joint project with TIME Magazine. ABC News and TIME recently sent reporters to 30 cities and dozens of small towns throughout Iraq to survey more than 600 Iraqis about their lives since the fall of Saddam Hussein's regime.

The ABC News and TIME teams questioned Iraqis across the country about whether progress had been made on key issues affecting their lives, including: security, health care, education, electricity, water supply, quality of local government, the availability of jobs and the availability of goods. The reporting teams also asked specifically how the Iraqis felt about the American presence in their country and what democracy means to them.

See and read all they found on ABC's "World News Tonight" and "Nightline" today and in this week's issue of Time.

ABC News Vote 2004: The Invisible Primary:

The New York Times ' Adam Nagourney offers a snapshot of the see and the saw of this campaign year — the economy and Iraq — as both Dems and the GOP work to keep the focus on the end that is up for them. LINK

The Washington Post 's Dan Balz and Dana Milbank write about all of the uncertainties that are certain to trouble the Democratic candidates for the remainder of 2003 and well into 2004. LINK

The Boston Herald's Andrew Miga previews the Rock the Vote forum. LINK

The Los Angeles Times' Neuman uses the forum in Boston as the peg for her story on the declining political interest displayed by 18- to 24-year-olds. LINK

David Lightman of the Hartford Courant covers similar ground from a Columbus, Ohio dateline. LINK

Rising collegiate GOP membership has strategists predicting a high turnout in 2004, reports the Tribune's Jeff Zeleny. LINK

Senator Tom Harkin has an op-ed piece in the Boston Globe that not only knocks the president, but also: 1) plugs his own "Hear it from the Heartland" forums, 2) plugs his own Steak Fry, and 3) rallies the Rock the Vote cause by Noting, "Young Iowans I talk to have no problem mixing idealism and skepticism." LINK

Can that guy work a room or what?

Dean:

The Des Moines Register 's Jonathan Roos reports that Dean "addressed lingering questions about his references to the Confederate flag" in Des Moines on Monday. LINK

Dean yesterday proposed a plan to fix the nation's nursing system while on a conference call in Iowa. LINK

From ABC News' Dean campaign reporter Marc Ambinder: The Dean campaign has secured broadcast time to run an infomercial in every Iowa television market - what Dean's media strategist, Steve McMahon, called a "significant buy." The programs will air on a network affiliate station in each market at least a few times for the next week. Shot in Sioux Falls two weeks ago, the meetings feature Dean answering questions about health care, the economy, and his electability.

A Dean spokesperson said the program will air as early as 6 a.m. in one market as late as 11 p.m. in another. Depending on response, the campaign may extend the infomercial's run, aides said.

Read more from the trail with Dean on abcnews.com: LINK

Kerry:

From ABC News' Kerry campaign reporter Ed O'Keefe:

Wrapping a four-day swing from central to southeastern Iowa, Senator Kerry bookended his day with events evoking personal heroes. In the rainy morning, the Massachusetts Senator pulled up his L.L. Bean bootstraps, still grimy with Iowa game, and took a brief tour along the banks of the mighty Mississippi.

Evoking, as he often does in stops far away from Ole Miss, the exploration of Lewis and Clark, Kerry stressed the need for a renewed commitment to environmental causes and clean water efforts. "George Bush is not funding water treatment. I want to get back into the business of helping local communities in living up to their responsibilities."

In that vein, Kerry pledged to aide Iowa Democratic Governor Tom Vilsack in his effort to clean up Iowa's rivers by 2010.

Read more from the trail with Kerry on abcnews.com: LINK

Clark:

Clark would consider signing the International Treaty to Ban Landmines, he said while campaigning in New Hampshire. LINK

Rep. James Clyburn is keeping mum on his endorsement, but his criticism of Clark is loud and clear. LINK

The Boston Globe 's Joanna Weiss says the Clark campaign claims their Web site beat Dean's Web site in Internet traffic on Sunday. The Dean campaign disputed this claim. LINK

Andrew DeMillo of the Arkansas Democratic Gazette talks about the Clark campaign's Internet strategy — one that includes "wireside chats," competitions for getting financial donors, and the Blog posts that showcase behind-the-scenes of the campaign. LINK

Mark Chediak of the Napa Valley Register writes about a brief Clark fundraising event at a Napa winery where he admits he really should be campaigning out East. LINK

From ABC News' Clark campaign reporter Deborah Apton:

We know about Clark the General and Clark the candidate, Clark the husband, and Clark the father. But did you know about Clark the impersonator? At a "Conversations with Clark" event in Keene, New Hampshire last night, Clark ended the event like any other — with the story of why he decided to run. But Clark added a new line while talking about the draft movement and said Congressman Charlie Rangel was one of the many who called upon him to run.

The impersonation began here. In Rangel's deep, raspy voice Clark said Rangel called him saying: "This is Sergeant Rangel. Where's my General?"

The General's son, Wes Jr., was at the event to introduce his father and did not seem surprised by his dad's comedic behavior. Wes told ABC News that his dad does many impersonations including Slobodan Milosevic, President George H.W. Bush, and FOX newsman Bill O'Reilly.

Read more from the trail with Clark on abcnews.com: LINK

Gephardt:

Gephardt was the first of nine candidates to sign up for the New Hampshire primary yesterday. LINK

From ABC News' Gephardt campaign reporter Sally Hawkins: Congressman Gephardt seemed to make up for lost time on Monday, his first day campaigning in New Hampshire in the last few weeks. The drizzly day began in Exeter, where Gephardt state campaign chairman Jim Demers picked the Congressman up in his plush 1999 motor home, which he bought at a bargain basement price on E-bay.

At the "Every Child Matters" forum on the UNH campus, Gephardt ripped into President Bush for his under-funded "No Child Left Behind" program and paid tribute to a high school teacher who helped him apply to college. When the floor opened up for questions, a 13-year-old girl named Lil asked, "What kind of a student were you in high school?" Gephardt laughed, then sighed. "Oh my gosh … well, I was a geek … let's start there." "I was a fairly a good student. I wasn't at all an A-student. I did good but I wasn't at the top of the class."

Recognizing his deficits he said, "I was not very good athlete. I'm coordinated but I'm not really good at any of these things" … ."I played tennis. I was an alternate on the high school tennis team, which means I wasn't any good." "I participated in school plays … I was in a musical called Sweethearts."

Read more from the trail with Gephardt on abcnews.com: LINK

Lieberman:

The State's Lee Bandy Notes that Lieberman "first outlined his vision for higher education reform in an April 2002 speech to students at Allen University and Benedict College — both historically black institutions. He returned to Benedict to note the important role that such schools have played in helping expand access to higher education." Bandy says, "Monday's event is part of Lieberman's South Carolina strategy — reaching out to black voters, who are expected to make up half or more of the state's Feb. 3 primary vote. Most of his half-dozen visits to the state have been to predominantly black communities." LINK

The AP reports on Lieberman's higher education plan, unveiled in South Carolina yesterday. LINK

New Haven Register's Joseph Straw writes that Lieberman's proposal for increased limits on Pell grants is similar to pending Democratic legislation. Also, "Lieberman spokesman Adam Kovacevich said the campaign has not formulated a cost estimate for the plan. It would be funded, Kovacevich said, using part of the projected $700 billion in revenue Lieberman's tax plan would generate over 10 years." LINK

Craig Smith and Dan Gerstein team up in a letter to the New York Post taking Nicole Gelinas to task for her representation of the Lieberman tax plan. LINK

From ABC News' Lieberman campaign reporter Talesha Reynolds:

It was an impressive sight. About 200 women dressed in white from head to toe filled every inch of Williams Chapel AME Church in Orangeburg, South Carolina for a conference and a visit from Joe Lieberman.

He may not have had them from "hello," but it didn't take long. The formula is clear.

Step one: quote scripture. "A woman of faith and valor, her price is worth far more than rubies."

Step two: policy. Lieberman chose a topic that was near and dear to the group of missionaries — poverty.

Step three: talk about his experience during the civil rights movement.

Step four: tell the joke about the white woman and the African-American housekeeper. It's 40 years old, but it works every time.

Step five: deliver a message of empowerment. "Each one of us has as much power when we go out to vote as the head of Halliburton or Enron or anybody else."

It was, by any standard, a homerun.

Read more from the trail with Lieberman on abcnews.com: LINK

Kucinich:

Sam Youngman Notes that the crowd in front of which Kucinich appeared at the Every Child Matters forum was the smallest of any candidate, though they tried to make up for it with cheering: LINK

The Plain Dealer's Tom Feran analyzes how Kucinich's short stature offers no help to his candidacy: LINK

From ABC News' Kucinich campaign reporter Melinda Arons:

There's a new addition to the cast of characters behind the Kucinich campaign: Derek Scalia, but he couldn't be further from the conservative Supreme Court justice with the same last name.

Scalia is one of the student coordinators for Kucinich at Franklin Pierce College, the 1,500-student, 40-year-old campus in tiny Rindge, New Hampshire, where last night the Congressman became the first presidential candidate ever to speak on the campus.

A junior at Pierce, Scalia chose the remote school specifically because he wanted to be in New Hampshire for the 2004 primary. He started paying attention to Kucinich a year ago, before Kucinich himself knew if he would run, and says that for the first time in his life he agrees 100% with his candidate.

He thinks Socialism got a bum rap when it got unfortunately entangled with Communism and is quick to point out that the only time he's ever aligned himself with Justice Scalia in any way is when he uses the name to gain admittance to the Supreme Court chambers to hear cases in which he's interested. Just your average male college junior, Kucinich-style.

Read more from the trail with Kucinich on abcnews.com: LINK

Sharpton:

From ABC News' Sharpton campaign reporter Beth Loyd:

The cast of Saturday Night Live has no idea what they're in for. Yes, the rumors are true: Reverend Sharpton will host Saturday Night Live on December 6. Campaign whispers began a month or so while the folks at SNL tried to work out that pesky "equal time" issue. So, perhaps, if this whole president thing doesn't work out …

The New York Times breaks the grand news. "The producers of NBC's "Saturday Night Live" believe his many one-liners at the televised debates have already made him the undisputed king of campaign comedy."LINK

Read more from the trail with Sharpton on abcnews.com: LINK

Moseley Braun:

Moseley Braun touted her health care plan yesterday at the University of New Hampshire. LINK

From ABC News' Moseley Braun campaign reporter Monica Ackerman: New Hampshire here I am! Ambassador Carol Moseley Braun campaigned in of New Hampshire Monday, and was one of the last candidates to participate in the Every Child Matters Forum. Sam Youngman of PoliticsNH.com joked about Moseley Braun's rare appearance in New Hampshire. "Though Halloween was last Friday, some Granite Staters might've thought they saw an apparition at the University of New Hampshire Monday afternoon." LINK

According to a local news producer, Moseley Braun had more children in the audience than any of the other six candidates who have already participated. After the forum, teenager Kim Lynch said, "I think she has a great chance of running against Bush and like my mom said it's really cool that a woman is running for president because women have something to say."

Read more from the trail with Moseley Braun on abcnews.com: LINK

South Carolina:

The State Notes that, thanks to last week's remarks by Dean, the Confederate Flag is once against pushing its way into South Carolina politics. LINK

The Post and Courier echoes The State, but is unsure of how Dean's remark will really affect the South Carolina primary. LINK

ABC News Vote 2004: Bush-Cheney re-elect:

The Bush-Cheney campaign released an internal memo from Bush-Cheney '04 Chief Strategist Matt Dowd that looks at where the president stands with one year to go before the election.

The memo, to Campaign Chairman Marc Racicot and Campaign Manager Ken Mehlman, was yet another from Dowd that is cautionary about declining poll numbers and approval ratings and even goes so far as to predict worse numbers in the next few months. The campaign has consistently maintained that these polling numbers put President Bush right where incumbent presidents historically have been at this point in the game — and are not the Chicken Little scenarios that some political commentators make them out to be.

On the president's approval numbers: "One major reason why President Bush's approval numbers have had such lasting power is that a majority of the public sees this President as honest and trustworthy, a strong leader, and believes that he cares about them. A second important reason for the sustained nature of these positive numbers in the wake of consistent negative media coverage concerning Iraq and the economy is that the public sees the president as presenting a clear and positive message on dealing with the public's concerns."

On a close election in 2004: "Though at this time this is good news for a campaign headed into an election year, this race is likely to be very tight and go down to the wire. The country is very evenly divided, and with Democratic partisans lined up solidly against President Bush, this race will stay very close."

Dowd also warned that President Bush could fall behind the Democratic nominee in the spring: "First, this is just the nature of a divided and polarized electorate. Second, once the Democratic nominee is all but assured, that person will receive a deluge of positive press at least for a couple of weeks, and this will temporarily be reflected in public opinion polls."

President Bush stopped by Birmingham, Alabama yesterday for a BC04 fund-raiser that raised $1.85 million. According to the campaign, this figure was the most the president had raised at an individual fund-raiser since a $3.5 million event in Chicago on September 30. LINK

The president spoke about the economy and the war on terrorism, but the Los Angeles Times' Ed Chen reports that "What he did not say was, perhaps, as noteworthy as what he did say."

"He not only did not mention Sunday's casualties, but also largely omitted his usual detailed recitation of the progress being made in the reconstruction of Iraq — from the opening of schools to the political freedoms that Iraqis now enjoy." LINK

Washington Post 's Mike Allen also looks at the president's speeches yesterday and the Notable omission of the latest from Iraq.

"The day's rhetoric, and the potential incongruity of emphasizing his six-point plan for job creation at a time when bloodshed in Iraq was dominating headlines and newscasts, reflected the White House's challenge as Bush tries to avoid letting setbacks in Iraq drown out a campaign message designed to exude optimism." LINK

It's pheasant hunting time for Vice President Cheney! The VP arrived in Pierre, South Dakota yesterday where he will spend time hunting the ring-neck pheasant, South Dakota's state bird. LINK

Former First Lady Barbara Bush could turn out to be a not-so-secret campaign weapon whose political jabs will largely go uncontested by what she calls "a sorry bunch" of Democrats, writes the Boston Globe 's Peter Canellos. LINK

Check out the MoDo cameo!

The economy:

Consumer spending is beginning to slow, but manufacturing rose in October, the Wall Street Journal 's Jon Hilsenrath reports. The index of manufacturing business conditions remained above 50 points - indicating expansion - for the fourth straight month, and the news boosted the stock market as well, driving the Dow Jones Industrial Average up nearly 58 points to a 17-month high of 9858.46.

The surge marks an attempt by manufacturing to keep up with increased consumer spending, which was fueled in the 3rd quarter in part by tax cuts.

The Boston Globe 's Tom Oliphant writes, "As the United States heads into another national election season, there is a growing disconnect between production on the one hand and jobs and income on the other. At some point, the disconnect is either going to go away or George W. Bush is going to find himself in trouble." LINK

Bush Administration strategy/personality:

Dana Milbank asks, "Has President Bush unplugged his energy secretary?" LINK

Re-Grouping in the abortion fight:

Wednesday is shaping up to be a big one for both sides of the abortion battle as the president signs the ban of the late-term abortion procedure known as "partial-birth abortion." NARAL Pro-Choice America is going up with an ad we are assured is more than a shadow buy but less than a big one in Washington, Des Moines, and Manchester starting tomorrow. Take a look at the script below:

"In the Room"

Announcer: Medical privacy is a basic American freedom. That's why the government stays out of the doctor's office. But now President Bush just signed the first federal law that will criminalize safe medical procedures. A law with no exception to protect a woman's health. And once government is in the door … Who knows what they'll do next. It's time to stand up for a woman's right to choose

Meanwhile the Christian Coalition and other social conservatives celebrate a victory. Writes the Christian Coalition in its weekly e-mail to supporters, "After years of waiting for the abominable practice of partial-birth abortion to be outlawed, and having two similar pieces of legislation vetoed by Bill Clinton, prolifers will finally be able to see President George W. Bush sign into law next Wednesday, November 5th, a bill which will ban this hideous procedure. Director of Legislative Affairs Jim Backlin will attend along with others from Christian Coalition." Stay tuned. We are guaranteed to see more on this as the cycle continues …

Politics:

7:00-7:30: 391st workday. Help finish new roof at LHS, TAL
12:12-12:30: Hold press conference. Announce retirement. Cause Jon Corzine chest pains.

Bob Graham's departure from the Senate creates the fourth open Southern Senate seat and has Patrick Davis salivating. LINK
"It also increases the odds that Republicans, who hold a 51-48 majority in the Senate, not counting an independent from Vermont who votes with the Democrats, will maintain or strengthen their majority in next year's election."

Helen Dewar of the Washington Post reports on Senator Graham's decision. LINK

The Florida papers are bowled over by the Senator's decision to stay out of the race for the Senate. Looking ahead to the primaries AND the general, everyone gets ready to rumble!

The Miami Herald says the race to replace Graham is "widely expected to become the country's most expensive and hotly competitive" race in the country and Notes the "Democratic slate could make for one of the most explosive primaries in years, with representatives from nearly every Democratic base group in the mix." LINK

In the Orlando Sentinel, the already-concerned Florida Democratic Party's Scott Maddox cautions against an intra-party food fight. LINK

The Tampa Tribune finds little enthusiasm for the candidates vying to replace Graham. LINK

The St Petersburg Times gets Ralph Reed to say he likes the GOP's chances in the state LINK while the paper's political editor sees the "end of an era" in Graham's bow-out. LINK

Deborah Orin writes Senator Graham's possible plans for appearing on the 2004 Democratic ticket as a vice presidential nominee "could be problematic, given the total failure of his presidential bid … " LINK

Following up on its own story, the New York Times reports two leading Democrats want the Justice Department's inspector general to take a look at just how an internal Justice report on the department's diversity ended up with more than half of its 186 pages deleted before its public release. LINK

Major Futures & Reader Services

— Nov. 4, 2003: Sen. Tom Daschle (D-S.D.)'s book about the 107th Congress, entitled "Like No Other Time," hits bookstores
— Nov. 4, 2003: Walter Shapiro's book, entitled "One-Car Caravan: On the Road with the 2004 Democrats Before America Tunes In," hits bookstores
— Nov. 4, 2003: Gubernatorial elections in Kentucky and Mississippi
— Nov. 4, 2003: CNN and Rock the Vote host a Democratic presidential candidates town hall forum with young voters, Boston
— Nov. 5, 2003: Democratic Senate Majority Fund and New House PAC hold a joint fundraiser, D.C.
— Nov. 5, 2003: Planned Parenthood and New Hampshire women's organizations host presidential candidate forum
— Nov. 6, 2003: New Hampshire AARP Granite State Session on health care, Portsmouth
— Nov. 6-11, 2003: National Association of Realtors annual convention, San Francisco
— Nov. 7, 2003: Government releases unemployment figure for October
— Nov. 7, 2003: Gov. George Pataki (R-N.Y.) keynotes Republican Party of Iowa's Ronald Reagan Dinner, Des Moines
—Nov. 9, 2003: Fmr. Vice President Al Gore makes remarks on security and civil liberties at a forum hosted by MoveOn.org and the American Constitution Society, D.C.
— Nov. 9, 2003: Sen. Bob Graham (D-Fla.)'s birthday
— Nov. 13-15, 2003: Federalist Society 2003 National Lawyers Convention, D.C.
— Nov. 13, 2003: C-SPAN's Brian Lamb is the featured speaker at the inaugural Nackey S. Loeb First Amendment Award dinner, Manchester, N.H.
— Nov. 15, 2003: Louisiana gubernatorial run-off election
— Nov. 15, 2003: Iowa Democratic Party's Jefferson-Jackson day dinner.
— Nov. 15, 2003: Deadline for California Sec. of State Kevin Shelley to certify recall election
— Nov. 17, 2003: Former Gov. Howard Dean (D-Vt.)'s birthday
— Nov. 17, 2003: Fmr. President Bill Clinton keynotes economic symposium, Tokyo, Japan
— Nov. 17, 2003: Arnold Schwarzenegger is sworn in as California's 38th governor, Sacramento
— Nov. 18, 2003: New Hampshire AARP presidential candidate forum, Bedford, N.H.
— Nov. 20, 2003: New Hampshire Institute of Politics' youth forum with presidential candidates, Manchester, N.H.
— Nov. 21, 2003: Dubuque County Democrats Presidential Forum, Dubuque, Iowa
— Nov. 21, 2003: Claremont Institute's Winston Churchill Dinner to honor Rush Limbaugh with the 2003 Statesmanship Award, Los Angeles
— Nov. 21, 2003: Last day for presidential campaigns to file in New Hampshire
— Dec. 5-7, 2003: Florida State Democratic Convention, Disney World, Orlando, Fla.
— Dec. 5, 2003: Government releases unemployment figure for October
— Dec. 6, 2003: Presidential candidate forum with Iowa College Democrats, Iowa City
— Dec. 6, 2003: Rev. Al Sharpton hosts "Saturday Night Live"
— Dec. 9, 2003: Sen. Tom Daschle (D-S.D.)'s birthday
— Dec. 11, 2003: Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.)'s birthday
— Dec. 11, 2003: New Hampshire AARP Granite State Session on Social Security, Hanover, N.H.
— Dec. 15, 2003: Uber-Democrat Donna Brazile's birthday.
— Jan. 4, 2004: Des Moines Register's Democratic candidate presidential debate
— Jan. 6, 2004: National Public Radio hosts a radio-only candidate forum, Des Moines (tentative)
— Jan. 9, 2004: Government releases unemployment figure for December
— Jan. 10, 2004: Linn County Democratic Party's 2004 Hall of Fame Banquet, Cedar Rapids, Iowa
— Jan. 10-11, 2004: Choosing An Independent President convention, Bedford, N.H.
— Jan. 13, 2004: District of Columbia primary
— Jan. 19, 2004: Iowa caucuses
— Jan. 22, 2004: WMUR-TV Democratic presidential candidate debate
— Jan. 22, 2004: 31st annual March for Life, D.C.
— Jan. 24, 2004: 100 Club New Hampshire Democratic Party Annual Fundraiser, Sheraton Tara, Nashua, N.H.
— Jan. 27, 2004: New Hampshire primary
— Jan. 31, 2004: Final 2003 fourth quarter campaign finance reports due to FEC
— Jan. 31, 2004: Rep. Richard Gephardt (D-Mo.)'s birthday
— Feb. 3, 2004: Delaware presidential primary
— Feb. 3, 2004: South Carolina Democratic presidential primary
— Feb. 3, 2004: Missouri presidential primary
— Feb. 3, 2004: Arizona presidential primary
— Feb. 3, 2004: New Mexico Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 3, 2004: Virginia GOP caucuses
— Feb. 3, 2004: Oklahoma presidential primary
— Feb. 3, 2004: North Dakota Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 7, 2004: Michigan Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 7, 2004: Washington state Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 8, 2004: Maine Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 10, 2004: Virginia Democratic presidential primary
— Feb. 10, 2004: Tennessee presidential primary
— Feb. 14, 2004: Nevada Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 17, 2004: Wisconsin presidential primary
— Feb. 22, 2004: Sen. Bill Frist (R-Tenn.)'s birthday
— Feb. 24, 2004: Idaho Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 24, 2004: Utah Democratic primary
— Feb. 24, 2004: Michigan GOP presidential primary
— Feb. 24, 2004: Sen. Joseph Lieberman (D-Conn.)'s birthday
— Feb. 24, 2004: Hawaii Democratic caucuses
— Feb. 26, 2004: CNN/L.A. Times co-host Democratic presidential debate
— Feb. 27, 2004: Utah presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: California presidential/state primary
— March 2, 2004: Connecticut presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Georgia presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Maryland presidential/state primary
— March 2, 2004: Massachusetts presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Minnesota caucuses
— March 2, 2004: New York presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Ohio presidential/state primary
— March 2, 2004: Rhode Island presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Vermont presidential primary
— March 2, 2004: Washington state presidential primary
— March 8, 2004: American Samoa Democratic caucuses
— March 9, 2004: Texas presidential/state primary
— March 9, 2004: Florida presidential primary
— March 9, 2004: Louisiana presidential primary
— March 9, 2004: Mississippi presidential/state primary
— March 13, 2004: Kansas Democratic caucuses
— March 16, 2004: Illinois presidential/state primary
— March 20, 2004: Wyoming Democratic caucuses
— March 20, 2004: Alaska Democratic caucuses
— March 20, 2004: Guam Democratic caucuses
— April 13, 2004: Colorado Democratic caucuses
— April 16-18, 2004: Log Cabin Republicans National Convention, Palm Springs, Fla.
— April 17, 2004: Virgin Islands presidential primary
— April 25, 2004: "Save Women's Lives: March for Freedom of Choice," D.C.
— April 27, 2004: Pennsylvania presidential/state primary
— May 4, 2004: Indiana presidential/state primary
— May 4, 2004: North Carolina presidential/state primary
— May 11, 2004: Nebraska presidential primary
— May 11, 2004: West Virginia presidential primary
— May 18, 2004: Arkansas presidential primary
— May 18, 2004: Oregon presidential primary
— May 18, 2004: Kentucky presidential primary
— June 1, 2004: Alabama presidential primary
— June 1, 2004: South Dakota presidential primary
— June 6, 2004: Puerto Rico Democratic caucuses
— June 8, 2004: New Jersey presidential primary
— June 8, 2004: Montana presidential primary
— July 26-29, 2004: Democratic National Convention, Boston
— Aug. 14-29, 2004: Summer Olympic Games, Athens, Greece
— Aug. 30-Sept. 2, 2004: Republican National Convention, New York City
— Aug. 31, 2004: Florida state primary
— Nov. 2, 2004: Election Day

2003 Note Archives, updated weekly.

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